Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 22:30:56 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (2.1%). The market has $53K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.1% | 2.1¢ | 97.9¢ |
Prices on other venues
| Outcome | Venue | Chance | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Kalshi | 1.9% | |
| Yes | Opinion | 19.4% |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $53K
- Liquidity: $1.8M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources
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