Will the next elected US president be a woman?

As of Sat, 22 Aug 2026 11:37:29 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (19.0%). The market has $16K in volume and closes on Wed, 08 Nov 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes19.0%19.0¢81.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.