Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:02:18 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (3.0%). The market has $81K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If the International Monetary Fund declares the world is in recession before 2027 in one of their World Economic Outlook reports, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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