Will Trump bring back manufacturing?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (23.0%). The market has $27K in volume and closes on Sat, 30 Jun 2029.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes23.0%23.0¢77.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If the value added by Manufacturing to GDP in Q4 2028 is at least 13.1% (the value it was in Q1 2005), then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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