Will Hawaii visitor spending increase YoY this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (79.0%). The market has $21K in volume and closes on Fri, 05 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 79.0% | 79.0¢ | 21.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $21K
- Liquidity: $21K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If Hawaii’s total visitor expenditures for calendar year 2026 are above $21.7531 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the total statewide visitor expenditures for calendar year 2026, measured in nominal dollars, as reported by the State of Hawaii Department of Business, Economic Development & Tourism. This includes expenditures associated with visitors arriving by air and by out-of-state cruise ships. It does not use inflation-adjusted spending, average daily visitor spending, visitor days, or spending for an individual island or visitor market. Resolution uses the first publication containing complete January–December 2026 data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.
Sources
Related markets
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average this year
- Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in September 2026?
- Port of New York and New Jersey container volume this year
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.