Will Illinois home prices increase YoY this quarter?

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 06:43:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (90.0%). The market has $15K in volume and closes on Fri, 05 Mar 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes90.0%90.0¢10.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If the Illinois’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only FHFA HPI for Q4 2026 is above 327.38, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the index_sa value for Illinois (IL), year 2026, quarter 4, in FHFA’s quarterly state Purchase-Only House Price Index dataset. The market measures Q4-over-Q4 price change, not an annual average or calendar-year average. Resolution uses the first FHFA publication containing the Q4 2026 value; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.