Will Nevada home prices rise YoY?

As of Wed, 14 Oct 2026 12:24:32 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (82.0%). The market has $13K in volume and closes on Sun, 07 Mar 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes82.0%82.0¢18.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If FHFA reports that Nevada’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 is above 423.62, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Nevada (NV) Q4 2026 indexsa value in FHFA’s quarterly Purchase-Only State HPI dataset. The 423.62 threshold is fixed and will not change if FHFA later revises its Q4 2025 value. Use NV → 2026 → Q4 → indexsa

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.