Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
As of Wed, 21 Oct 2026 17:24:22 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (1.9%). The market has $51K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.9% | 1.9¢ | 98.0¢ |
Prices on other venues
| Outcome | Venue | Chance | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Kalshi | 2.0% |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $51K
- Liquidity: $27K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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