Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 03:41:59 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (13.5%). The market has $63K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 13.5% | 13.5¢ | 86.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $63K
- Liquidity: $16K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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