Will Canada housing starts go above 300K this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:43:44 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (14.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Mon, 25 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If the total number of Canada housing starts is above 300K in any monthly release covering January 2026 through December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The relevant statistic is the headline monthly seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts for Canada, expressed in units, as reported on Trading Economics’ Canada Housing Starts page and sourced from Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation. For clarity, the market will use the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rate for all areas in Canada, not actual monthly starts, year-to-date starts, the six-month moving average trend, urban-only starts, provincial starts, or the calendar-year total number of starts.
Sources
Related markets
- NYC median asking rent in December 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Housing units authorized in Vermont this year
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Fed decision in October?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.