Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
As of Sun, 18 Oct 2026 07:37:16 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (5.5%). The market has $43K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5.5% | 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $43K
- Liquidity: $11K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any AI or LLM by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The charge or indictment of a company or organization behind the AI or large language model will not be sufficient. Charges or indictments must be of the AI or LLM itself. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources
Related markets
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
- Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
- Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.