Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
As of Fri, 04 Sep 2026 08:45:06 UTC, Polymarket traders price 1575 (36.5%), 1600 (9.2%). The market has $17K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1575 | 36.5% | 36.5¢ | 63.5¢ |
| 1600 | 9.2% | 9.2¢ | 90.8¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $17K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources
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