Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 12:08:13 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (39.5%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.5% | 39.5¢ | 60.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $23K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation establishing a comprehensive federal framework for artificial intelligence becomes law in the United States between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Legislation establishes a comprehensive federal framework for artificial intelligence if its enacted text contains provisions in both of the following categories: (1) Standards or testing: the legislation directs a federal agency or body (for example, the National Institute of Standards and Technology) to develop, adopt, or maintain technical standards, benchmarks, testing frameworks, or evaluation capacity for artificial intelligence systems. (2) Transparency, disclosure, or risk management: the legislation requires transparency, disclosure, reporting, or risk-management practices for artificial intelligence systems, either as obligations on private-sector developers or deployers, or as guidelines or frameworks that a federal agency is directed to develop or adopt for use by federal agencies, whether mandatory or voluntary. Findings, sense-of-Congress language, and provisions that only authorize a study or require a one-time report to Congress will not satisfy this category. The qualifying provisions must apply to artificial intelligence systems generally, either government-wide or to private-sector developers or deployers. Provisions that govern only the artificial intelligence systems developed, procured, or us…
Sources
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