Comprehensive federal AI legislation this year?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:03 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (9.0%). The market has $10K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes9.0%9.0¢91.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If legislation that establishes a multi-issue federal framework for artificial intelligence, combining federal technical standards or testing capacity with transparency, disclosure, or risk-management provisions, regardless of whether those provisions mandate private-sector compliance or promote voluntary guidelines for federal adoption has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Examples include the American Leadership in AI Act and Great American Artificial Intelligence Act of 2026.

Sources

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