Congressional Progressive Caucus size after the midterms?
As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 16:36:36 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 95 (96.0%), Above 97 (88.0%), Above 100 (80.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 02 May 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 95 | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above 97 | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Above 100 | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| Above 105 | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| Above 110 | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 95:
If the total count of U.S. Congress members (including non-voting delegates) officially listed as members of the Congressional Progressive Caucus is above 95 on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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