Who will die in Avengers: Doomsday?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:31:34 UTC, Polymarket traders price Loki (81.5%), Spider-Man (65.0%), Thor (65.0%). The market has $18K in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loki | 81.5% | 81.5¢ | 18.5¢ |
| Spider-Man | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Thor | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Captain America (Sam Wilson) | 58.5% | 58.5¢ | 41.5¢ |
| Steve Rogers | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Ant-Man | 52.5% | 52.5¢ | 47.5¢ |
| Doctor Strange | 40.1% | 40.1¢ | 59.9¢ |
| Shang-Chi | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
| Doctor Doom | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $18K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Avengers: Doomsday is scheduled to premiere on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Avengers: Doomsday". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Avengers: Doomsday" will count toward resolution. Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before "Avengers: Doomsday" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.. If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "Avengers: Doomsday" will qualify. Only events depicted in the official "Avengers: Doomsday" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced with…
Sources
Related markets
- Highest grossing movie in 2026?
- Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
- Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
- #1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?
- Next James Bond actor?
- Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.