Who will have a #1 album this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 16:28:18 UTC, Kalshi traders price Miley Cyrus (100.0%), Gracie Abrams (100.0%), Post Malone (50.0%). The market has $966K in volume and closes on Sun, 27 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miley Cyrus | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Gracie Abrams | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Post Malone | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Lil Baby | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| SZA | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Travis Scott | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| Beyoncé | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| Kendrick Lamar | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| Olivia Dean | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Tate McRae | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| The Weeknd | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| Lana Del Rey | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| Lil Uzi Vert | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Kanye West / Ye | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Billie Eilish | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $966K
- Liquidity: $966K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Miley Cyrus:
If Miley Cyrus has a #1 album on the Billboard 200 by Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi. For the purposes of this market, the last Billboard chart that will be included is the one published for Dec 26, 2026.
Sources
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