Who will have a top 10 song this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price KAROL G (100.0%), Don Toliver (99.0%), Mariah Carey (98.0%). The market has $264K in volume and closes on Sat, 26 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| KAROL G | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Don Toliver | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Mariah Carey | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Chappell Roan | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Zach Bryan | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| Tate McRae | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| Dominic Fike | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| Michael Jackson | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| Lana Del Rey | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| Post Malone | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| Bryson Tiller | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Billie Eilish | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| SZA | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| Travis Scott | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $264K
- Liquidity: $264K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for KAROL G:
If KAROL G has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi. Features are encompassed by the Payout Criterion as long as they are credited by Billboard. For the purposes of this market, the last Billboard chart that will be included is the one published for Dec 26, 2026.
Sources
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