Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 15:25:15 UTC, Polymarket traders price Japan (18.0%), Saudi Arabia (13.5%), Germany (13.5%). The market has $181K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Japan18.0%18.0¢82.0¢
Saudi Arabia13.5%13.5¢86.5¢
Germany13.5%13.5¢86.5¢
Portugal11.5%11.5¢88.5¢
South Korea10.5%10.5¢89.5¢
Israel9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Italy7.5%7.5¢92.5¢
Syria7.5%7.5¢92.5¢
Russia7.2%7.2¢92.8¢
North Korea7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Venezuela6.5%6.5¢93.5¢
India6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Ukraine5.1%5.1¢94.9¢
Mexico5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Canada5.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Japan:

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Sources

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