When will Trump and Mamdani meet?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Mar 1, 2027 (51.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (29.0%), Before Dec 1, 2026 (16.0%). The market has $12K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $12K
- Liquidity: $12K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Mar 1, 2027:
If Donald Trump and Zohran Mamdani meet in person after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Both Donald Trump and Zohran Mamdani must be physically present in the same location and directly communicate or interact after Issuance and before the applicable date. A bilateral, pull-aside, sideline, informal, or multilateral encounter qualifies if direct interaction is documented. Mere co-attendance, proximity without interaction, an intermediary, a letter, a phone or video call, a prerecorded appearance, or a scheduled-but-cancelled meeting does NOT qualify.
Sources
Related markets
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?
- Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.