US refinery utilization in November
As of Fri, 23 Oct 2026 17:48:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 88% (85.0%), Above 90% (65.0%), Above 94% (44.0%). The market has $13K in volume and closes on Fri, 05 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 88% | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| Above 90% | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Above 94% | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| Above 92% | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| Above 96% | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $13K
- Liquidity: $13K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 88%:
If U.S. refinery utilization for November 2026 is above 88%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is EIA’s monthly “U.S. Percent Utilization of Refinery Operable Capacity” series (MOPUEUS2) for November 2026, expressed as a percentage. The first published monthly figure will be used, including if designated preliminary or estimated. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. Weekly figures, four-week averages, and forecasts are excluded.
Sources
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