UK Nominal GDP in 2026
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $3.9 trillion (96.0%), Above $4.0 trillion (96.0%), Above $3.5 trillion (95.0%). The market has $13K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $3.9 trillion | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above $4.0 trillion | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above $3.5 trillion | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above $3.8 trillion | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above $3.6 trillion | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above $3.7 trillion | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above $3.4 trillion | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above $4.1 trillion | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| Above $4.2 trillion | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| Above $4.3 trillion | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| Above $4.4 trillion | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Above $4.5 trillion | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $13K
- Liquidity: $13K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $3.9 trillion:
If UK Nominal GDP is above $3.9 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. 9/25/26 clarification: This market resolves using the World Bank’s first non-preliminary release of UK Nominal GDP for calendar year 2026, expressed in current US dollars. Trading Economics is a backup source for the same figure. Forecasts and subsequent revisions are excluded; no separate currency conversion is performed.
Sources
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