Brazil Nominal GDP in 2026

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $2.5 trillion (79.0%), Above $2.1 trillion (75.0%), Above $2.6 trillion (64.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above $2.5 trillion79.0%79.0¢21.0¢
Above $2.1 trillion75.0%75.0¢25.0¢
Above $2.6 trillion64.0%64.0¢36.0¢
Above $2.2 trillion60.0%60.0¢40.0¢
Above $2.4 trillion53.0%53.0¢47.0¢
Above $2.3 trillion50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Above $2.7 trillion38.0%38.0¢62.0¢
Above $2.8 trillion15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
Above $2.9 trillion9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Above $3.0 trillion6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Above $3.2 trillion5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above $3.1 trillion5.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $2.5 trillion:

If Brazil Nominal GDP is above $2.5 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. 9/25/26 clarification: This market resolves using the World Bank’s first non-preliminary release of Brazil Nominal GDP for calendar year 2026, expressed in current US dollars. Trading Economics is a backup source for the same figure. Forecasts and subsequent revisions are excluded; no separate currency conversion is performed.

Sources

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