U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (51.0%). The market has $53K in volume and closes on Wed, 02 Jun 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $53K
- Liquidity: $53K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If U.S. nonfarm business sector labor productivity year-over-year growth is above 3% in any quarter of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only the first non-preliminary release for each quarter will be considered. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
Sources
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