Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th
As of Sun, 04 Oct 2026 22:32:14 UTC, Kalshi traders price Xiaomi (97.0%), Alibaba (2.0%), DeepSeek (2.0%). The market has $115K in volume and closes on Mon, 05 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xiaomi | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Alibaba | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| DeepSeek | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Baidu | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Tencent | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| MiniMax | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| ByteDance | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Meituan | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Moonshot | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Z.ai | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $115K
- Liquidity: $115K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Xiaomi:
If Xiaomi is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Sources
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