Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th

As of Sun, 20 Sep 2026 21:38:40 UTC, Kalshi traders price Alibaba (97.0%), Moonshot (3.0%), Tencent (3.0%). The market has $43K in volume and closes on Mon, 21 Sep 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Alibaba97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
Moonshot3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Tencent3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Baidu1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
ByteDance1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
DeepSeek1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
MiniMax1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Xiaomi1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Z.ai1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Alibaba:

If Alibaba is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Sep 21, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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