Swedish general election: Moderate Party vote percent

As of Fri, 04 Sep 2026 11:38:39 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 13% (98.0%), At least 15% (98.0%), At least 16% (98.0%). The market has $29K in volume and closes on Mon, 21 Sep 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 13%98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
At least 15%98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
At least 16%98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
At least 17%98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
At least 18%98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
At least 19%97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
At least 21%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 13%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Moderate Party in the 2026 Swedish general election is 13% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is the share of the vote received by the Moderate Party in the election to the Riksdag. It is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Resolution uses Valmyndigheten's final certified result, NOT the preliminary count published on election night or the ongoing count in the days that follow Only the election to the Riksdag counts. Votes cast in the regional and municipal elections held the same day do NOT count Invalid, spoiled, blank and rejected ballots are excluded from the denominator

Sources

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