Brazil Presidential election winner?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:56:47 UTC, Kalshi traders price Flávio Bolsonaro (79.0%), Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (22.0%), Augusto Cury (1.0%). The market has $10.4M in volume and closes on Sun, 25 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flávio Bolsonaro | 79.0% | 79.0¢ | 21.0¢ |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| Augusto Cury | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Ciro Gomes | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Ratinho Júnior | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Michelle Bolsonaro | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Tarcísio de Freitas | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Ronaldo Caiado | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Fernando Haddad | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Eduardo Bolsonaro | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Renan Santos | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Romeu Zema | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Jair Bolsonaro | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Aldo Rebelo | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $10.4M
- Liquidity: $11.8M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Flávio Bolsonaro:
If Flávio Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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