Spanish general election: Vox vote percent

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:06 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 13% (97.0%), At least 15% (97.0%), At least 14% (97.0%). The market has $12K in volume and closes on Tue, 15 Dec 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 13%97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
At least 15%97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
At least 14%97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
At least 16%88.0%88.0¢12.0¢
At least 17%75.0%75.0¢25.0¢
At least 18%58.0%58.0¢42.0¢
At least 19%47.0%47.0¢53.0¢
At least 20%28.0%28.0¢72.0¢
At least 21%15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
At least 22%9.0%9.0¢91.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 13%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Vox in the 2026 Spanish general election is 13% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is the share of the vote received by Vox in the election to the Congress of Deputies. It is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Resolution uses the official results published by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior as proclaimed by the Junta Electoral Central, NOT the provisional count on election night Only the election to the Congress of Deputies counts. Votes cast in the Senate election held the same day do NOT count Invalid ballots are excluded from the denominator. Blank ballots are valid votes under Spanish electoral law and are included in the denominator, as in the official percentages Votes for Vox include votes for any coalition or regional list the Ministry of the Interior aggregates under Vox in its national results

Sources

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