Russia Nominal GDP in 2026

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $2.3 trillion (98.0%), Above $2.2 trillion (96.0%), Above $2.4 trillion (94.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above $2.3 trillion98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Above $2.2 trillion96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
Above $2.4 trillion94.0%94.0¢6.0¢
Above $2.5 trillion92.0%92.0¢8.0¢
Above $2.6 trillion90.0%90.0¢10.0¢
Above $2.7 trillion87.0%87.0¢13.0¢
Above $2.8 trillion73.0%73.0¢27.0¢
Above $2.9 trillion52.0%52.0¢48.0¢
Above $3.0 trillion32.0%32.0¢68.0¢
Above $3.1 trillion16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
Above $3.2 trillion7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Above $3.3 trillion4.0%4.0¢96.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $2.3 trillion:

If Russia Nominal GDP is above $2.3 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. 9/25/26 clarification: This market resolves using the World Bank’s first non-preliminary release of Russia Nominal GDP for calendar year 2026, expressed in current US dollars. Trading Economics is a backup source for the same figure. Forecasts and subsequent revisions are excluded; no separate currency conversion is performed.

Sources

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