Quebec general election: 3rd place
As of Fri, 09 Oct 2026 13:33:46 UTC, Kalshi traders price Conservative Party of Québec (97.0%), Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ) (2.0%), Quebec Liberal Party (2.0%). The market has $56K in volume and closes on Thu, 05 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party of Québec | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ) | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Quebec Liberal Party | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Québec solidaire | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Parti Québécois | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $56K
- Liquidity: $56K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Conservative Party of Québec:
If Conservative Party of Québec finishes in 3rd place in the 2026 Quebec general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on province-wide certified valid-vote count or percentage, not seats won In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities), rounded down. If no listed party is tied for third and an unlisted party finishes third, every named market resolves NO. Parties that withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. Resolution uses the final certified result from Élections Québec, not the preliminary election-night count. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve NO.
Sources
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