NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Increase 0.01-0.99% (41.0%), 0N (33.0%), Increase 1-1.99% (7.0%). The market has $89K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jun 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Increase 0.01-0.99% | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| 0N | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| Increase 1-1.99% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Decrease 1-1.99% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Increase 3% or more | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Decrease 2-2.99% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Increase 2-2.99% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Decrease 3% or more | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $89K
- Liquidity: $89K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Increase 0.01-0.99%:
If the population change in New York City is between 0.01% and 0.99% between July 1, 2025 and July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Population change is calculated as ((July 2027 Population - July 2025 Population) / July 2025 Population) × 100, rounded to one decimal place. The market resolves based on official census counts or estimates from the relevant national statistical office or census bureau for the specified geography. If the geography is split into multiple entities during the time period, the combined population of all successor entities will be used. Preliminary counts or estimates are valid if final data is not available by expiration. If data is unavailable by the latest expiration date, all strikes resolve to No. For temporal markets, the market checks cumulative population change from the start of the time period to each potential resolution date.
Sources
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