When will Mamdani visit the White House?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Mar 1, 2027 (43.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (25.0%), Before Nov 1, 2026 (10.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Mar 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Mar 1, 2027:
If Zohran Mamdani has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the White House before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Visits that began before market issuance do not count. The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit. The White House means any of: The Executive Residence, the West Wing, the East Wing, the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, and all gardens, lawns, and outdoor spaces within the secured perimeter of the White House, including the Rose Garden and the South Lawn.
Sources
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