NY-12 House election: Caroline Shinkle vote percent
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:25 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 6% (94.0%), At least 8% (94.0%), At least 10% (94.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 6% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 8% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 10% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 12% | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| At least 14% | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| At least 16% | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| At least 18% | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
| At least 20% | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| At least 22% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 6%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Caroline Shinkle in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 6% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Caroline Shinkle ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Votes for Caroline Shinkle across all certified ballot lines are combined.
Sources
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