NY-12 House election: Micah Lasher vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:01 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 76% (92.0%), At least 74% (90.0%), At least 78% (84.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 76% | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| At least 74% | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| At least 78% | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| At least 80% | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| At least 82% | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| At least 84% | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| At least 86% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| At least 90% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 88% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 76%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Micah Lasher in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 76% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Micah Lasher ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Votes for Micah Lasher across all certified ballot lines are combined.
Sources
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