New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (52.0%), Chuck Schumer (30.0%), Zohran Mamdani (5.0%). The market has $19K in volume and closes on Tue, 07 Nov 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez52.0%52.0¢48.0¢
Chuck Schumer30.0%30.0¢70.0¢
Zohran Mamdani5.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez:

If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III New York Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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