Mississippi cotton production next year

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 600,000 bales (93.0%), Above 700,000 bales (77.0%), Above 800,000 bales (57.0%). The market has $44K in volume and closes on Mon, 07 Feb 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 600,000 bales93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
Above 700,000 bales77.0%77.0¢23.0¢
Above 800,000 bales57.0%57.0¢43.0¢
Above 900,000 bales36.0%36.0¢64.0¢
Above 1,000,000 bales23.0%23.0¢77.0¢
Above 1,100,000 bales16.0%16.0¢84.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 600,000 bales:

If USDA NASS reports that Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 is above 600,000 bales, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is USDA NASS’s reported Cotton, Upland - Production for Mississippi for the 2027 crop year, measured in 480-pound bales. Use Cotton → Cotton, Upland → Production → 480 LB Bales.

Sources

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