More white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:05 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (44.0%). The market has $61K in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Mar 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $61K
- Liquidity: $61K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If the total number of layoffs and discharges in the Professional and Business Services sector during calendar year 2026 is greater than 5,497,000, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will use FRED series JTU540099LDL, “Layoffs and Discharges: Total Nonfarm: Professional and Business Services, Level in Thousands, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted."
Sources
Related markets
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Fed decision in October?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Recession this year?
- How high will US gas prices get this year?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.