Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price $40 trillion (99.0%), $42.5 trillion (93.0%), $45 trillion (86.0%). The market has $119K in volume and closes on Sat, 31 Mar 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| $40 trillion | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| $42.5 trillion | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| $45 trillion | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| $47.5 trillion | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| $50 trillion | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| $52.5 trillion | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $119K
- Liquidity: $119K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for $40 trillion:
If the U.S. federal debt increases to 40 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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