Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner?
As of Mon, 21 Sep 2026 00:42:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price AfD (99.0%), Die Linke (1.0%), BSW (1.0%). The market has $130K in volume and closes on Mon, 20 Sep 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| AfD | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Die Linke | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| BSW | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| CDU | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Grüne | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| FDP | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| SPD | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $130K
- Liquidity: $130K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for AfD:
If AfD wins the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
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