Larger margin of victory: Kansas or Nebraska Senate?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:18 UTC, Kalshi traders price Nebraska US Senate (62.0%), Kansas US Senate (38.0%). The market has $17K in volume and closes on Tue, 10 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Nebraska US Senate62.0%62.0¢38.0¢
Kansas US Senate38.0%38.0¢62.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Nebraska US Senate:

If Nebraska US Senate achieves the largest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Kansas US Senate and Nebraska US Senate, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers, using total votes cast as the denominator. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used. If multiple elections have identical margins and relevant options are listed, each tied option resolves to Yes at $1.00 divided by the number of tied options.

Sources

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