Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 06:50:35 UTC, Kalshi traders price Democrats sweep (63.0%), D-House, R-Senate (28.0%), Republicans sweep (9.8%). The market has $43.1M in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrats sweep | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| D-House, R-Senate | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| Republicans sweep | 9.8% | 9.8¢ | 90.2¢ |
| R-House, D-Senate | 0.8% | 0.8¢ | 99.2¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $43.1M
- Liquidity: $43.1M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Democrats sweep:
If ALL of the following occur: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: House Control uses CONTROL, Senate Control uses CONTROL. Each CONTROL component may resolve on an accelerated basis as outlined in the full rules.
Sources
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