How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 06:32:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 52 (37.0%), DSENATESEATS (19.0%), DSENATESEATS (14.0%). The market has $5.1M in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 52 | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| DSENATESEATS | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| DSENATESEATS | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| DSENATESEATS | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| DSENATESEATS | 8.1% | 8.1¢ | 91.9¢ |
| DSENATESEATS | 6.6% | 6.6¢ | 93.4¢ |
| DSENATESEATS | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| DSENATESEATS | 2.9% | 2.9¢ | 97.1¢ |
| Below 45 | 2.8% | 2.8¢ | 97.2¢ |
| DSENATESEATS | 2.4% | 2.4¢ | 97.6¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5.1M
- Liquidity: $5.1M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 52:
If the Democratic Party has above 52 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).
Sources
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