Kentucky coal production next year
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 02:02:24 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 20 million short tons (87.0%), Above 22 million short tons (74.0%), Above 24 million short tons (38.0%). The market has $68K in volume and closes on Sun, 07 May 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 20 million short tons | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| Above 22 million short tons | 74.0% | 74.0¢ | 26.0¢ |
| Above 24 million short tons | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| Above 26 million short tons | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Above 28 million short tons | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above 30 million short tons | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $68K
- Liquidity: $68K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 20 million short tons:
If EIA reports that Kentucky’s total coal production for calendar year 2027 is above 20 million short tons, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Kentucky Total in EIA’s Table 2 - Coal Production by State for the first Quarterly Coal Report containing full-year 2027 data. Production is reported in thousand short tons and will be converted to million short tons by dividing by 1,000. Eastern and Western Kentucky production are both included.
Sources
Related markets
- How high will US gas prices get this year?
- US gas prices this week
- US gas prices this week
- US gas prices this week
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get this year?
- US gas prices this week
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.