Number of US oil rigs at end of 2026
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 380 (98.0%), At least 370 (97.0%), At least 390 (97.0%). The market has $10K in volume and closes on Thu, 07 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 380 | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| At least 370 | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 390 | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 400 | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| At least 410 | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| At least 420 | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| At least 430 | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| At least 440 | 74.0% | 74.0¢ | 26.0¢ |
| At least 450 | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| At least 500 | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| At least 550 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| At least 600 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $10K
- Liquidity: $10K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 380:
If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 380, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this market, the relevant value is the figure in the “Oil” column, not the figure in the “Total Rigs” column.
Sources
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