Israel military action against Syria by...?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:41:32 UTC, Polymarket traders price November 30 (31.5%), October 31 (21.4%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 30 | 31.5% | 31.5¢ | 68.5¢ |
| October 31 | 21.4% | 21.4¢ | 78.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $21K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Syria by the specified date, 11:59 PM Syria Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Syria. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles. The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed. Any munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Syria do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred. “Syria” refers to the terrestrial territory of Syria, including its internal waters. Syria’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are…
Sources
Related markets
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
- Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.