Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 01:18:02 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (3.6%). The market has $249K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3.6% | 3.6¢ | 96.4¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $249K
- Liquidity: $25K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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