Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
As of Fri, 31 Jul 2026 21:08:28 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (5.1%). The market has $33K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5.1% | 5.1¢ | 94.8¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $33K
- Liquidity: $12K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
Related markets
- Iran leader end of 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.