Netanyahu out before the next Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting?
As of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 19:51:29 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (20.5%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 20.5% | 20.5¢ | 79.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $11K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel before a diplomatic meeting between Israel and Lebanon takes place. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel before a diplomatic meeting between Israel and Lebanon takes place, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If a diplomatic meeting between Israel and Lebanon takes place before Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve to “No”. If neither Benjamin Netanyahu ceasing to be Prime Minister of Israel nor a diplomatic meeting between Israel and Lebanon occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Benjamin Netanyahu will be considered to have ceased to be Prime Minister of Israel if he ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time after market creation. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu’s resignation/removal will count as him ceasing to be Prime Minister as of the time of the announcement, regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution sources for whether Benjamin Netanyahu has ceased to be Prime Minister of Israel will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. A diplomatic meeting between Israel and Lebanon will be considered to have taken place if there is a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting be…
Sources
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