Insurrection Act invoked by...?
As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 17:32:14 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (19.0%). The market has $177K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $177K
- Liquidity: $14K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources
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